Votara estimate of commune population in 2050 (canton-level scenario applied proportionally)
votara-commune-projection
- Publisher
- Votara
- Access method
code- Endpoint
src/lib/geo/projection.ts- Licence
- AGPL-3.0 (code), CC BY 4.0 (outputs)
- Coverage
- Geography communes (today's register, bfs-communes) · inputs bfs-commune-population (latest year), bfs-population-scenarios-cantonal-2025 (reference scenario)
- Used on
- STORY-09
- Known limits
- Votara estimate, not an official forecast. The OFS/BFS publishes no scenarios for communes; this applies the growth of the whole canton to each of its communes, so it ignores local factors (building zones, new housing, ageing of the local population). A commune gets the growth rate of the canton it belongs to today (e.g. Moutier, in the canton of Jura since 1 January 2026, gets the Jura rate).
How current is this data?
- Freshness
- No regular updates
There is no source to check regularly: Votara computes this itself, or the publication does not change.
- Period covered
- Not a time series
- Last change of the data
- not pulled yet
- Last check of the source
- No check recorded yet
- Update rhythm
- Computed by Votara
Ledger note (in English): Computed on request from the input datasets; changes when either input is pulled again.
The state is computed each time the site is built; this page shows it as of . Results of the accuracy checks
Transformations
- Commune population 2050 ≈ commune population of the latest STATPOP year (bfs-commune-population, joined to today's communes) × canton reference scenario 2050 ÷ canton reference scenario of that same year (bfs-population-scenarios-cantonal-2025, canton = the commune's canton today). Script: src/lib/geo/projection.ts
- Rounded to three significant digits; the formula and both input values are shown next to the result.