The track
Every federal vote since 1848. Each one is a switch the country has already passed; the coming ones are still open.
Coming switches
The next federal votes. Set each one to Yes, No or Undecided: the dashed line shows how the population curve would change, where a sourced estimate exists.
No reliable estimate None of the coming switches has a reliable estimate yet. The what-if line is therefore identical to the OFS/BFS reference scenario: flipping a switch does not move the curve.
Population to 2050: OFS/BFS reference scenario and your what-if
Population on 31 December. The dashed line adds the estimates of the switches you set.
Population
- OFS/BFS scenario: reference
- What-if (your switches)
OFS/BFS scenario: reference: 10,322,244 in 2050. What-if (your switches): 10,322,244 in 2050. Note: The what-if line is identical to the reference scenario.
Show the data as a table
| Year | OFS/BFS scenario: reference | What-if (your switches) |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9,036,689 | 9,036,689 |
| 2025 | 9,110,251 | 9,110,251 |
| 2026 | 9,183,137 | 9,183,137 |
| 2027 | 9,255,056 | 9,255,056 |
| 2028 | 9,325,771 | 9,325,771 |
| 2029 | 9,395,055 | 9,395,055 |
| 2030 | 9,462,885 | 9,462,885 |
| 2031 | 9,529,186 | 9,529,186 |
| 2032 | 9,591,362 | 9,591,362 |
| 2033 | 9,649,441 | 9,649,441 |
| 2034 | 9,703,546 | 9,703,546 |
| 2035 | 9,753,528 | 9,753,528 |
| 2036 | 9,801,190 | 9,801,190 |
| 2037 | 9,846,559 | 9,846,559 |
| 2038 | 9,889,772 | 9,889,772 |
| 2039 | 9,930,997 | 9,930,997 |
| 2040 | 9,970,305 | 9,970,305 |
| 2041 | 10,008,822 | 10,008,822 |
| 2042 | 10,046,650 | 10,046,650 |
| 2043 | 10,083,783 | 10,083,783 |
| 2044 | 10,120,200 | 10,120,200 |
| 2045 | 10,155,952 | 10,155,952 |
| 2046 | 10,190,929 | 10,190,929 |
| 2047 | 10,225,083 | 10,225,083 |
| 2048 | 10,258,375 | 10,258,375 |
| 2049 | 10,290,781 | 10,290,781 |
| 2050 | 10,322,244 | 10,322,244 |
Switches set: 0 of 9. Assumptions applied: 0.
Assumptions in this what-if
No assumption applied: the what-if line is the reference scenario.
How it works: an estimate gives the difference from the OFS/BFS reference scenario in 2050. The what-if adds it in equal steps from the year of the vote to 2050; the estimates of several switches add up. It is a what-if, not a forecast.
All federal votes
Data: swissvotes (Année politique suisse, University of Bern) and the Federal Chancellery. Federal votes only: cantonal and communal votes are not included yet.
Votes shown: 719 / 719
The track
The shape of each mark shows the result.
- Accepted
- Rejected
- Past
- Upcoming
Past: 710 (accepted: 331; rejected: 375), 1848–2026. Upcoming: 9.
Votes by decade
Newest first.
1860–1869
-
Rejected
Yes share 50.4%
-
Accepted
Yes share 53.2%
-
Rejected
Yes share 43.1%
-
Rejected
Yes share 39.9%
-
Rejected
Yes share 48.1%
-
Rejected
Yes share 49.2%
-
Rejected
Yes share 34.2%
-
Rejected
Yes share 43.7%
-
Rejected
Yes share 44.0%